GGOALVIO

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League · 8/13/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Truiden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Truiden are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Anderlecht are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Anderlecht hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.4% in the Jupiler Pro League, while St. Truiden holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Truiden

Probability

38.4%

Model confidence

38.4%

St. Truiden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. TruidenWLWWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AnderlechtWLWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
St. TruidenAnderlecht
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
33.3Form50.0
48.3Power53.0
1.55xG1.38
View match centre →