St. Pölten Wvs
Sturm Graz W
COMPLETEDAustria · Frauenliga · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Pölten W · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Pölten W 2-2 Sturm Graz W
Original prediction
St. Pölten W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 67.0% | 46.0% | -21.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.53 | 19.8% | 27.8% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 6.86 | 13.1% | 26.2% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.53 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
St. Pölten W
Probability
46.0%
Model confidence
46.0%
St. Pölten W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00