St. Pölten Wvs
Malmö FF W
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Cup - Women · 9/23/2026, 4:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmö FF W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Pölten W 0-2 Malmö FF W
Original prediction
Malmö FF W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.29 | 27.4% | 35.4% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.2% | 27.7% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 47.4% | 37.0% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Malmö FF W
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Malmö FF W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20
GF 13 · GA 1 · avg 2.60/0.20