GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League Women · 8/26/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventus W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

St. Pölten W 0-3 Juventus W

Original prediction

Juventus W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home15.365.9%27.9%22.0 pts
Draw6.7913.3%21.9%8.6 pts
Away1.1280.8%50.1%-30.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-30.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–18%
  2. 2.1–28%
  3. 3.2–28%

Predicted outcome

Juventus W

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Juventus W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Pölten WWWDWD

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juventus WWWWLD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Pölten WJuventus W
83.3Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
66.7Form100.0
64.8Power86.5
1.92xG2.12
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