GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Phönix Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Pauli II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Phönix Lübeck are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Phönix Lübeck hold a 32.9-point power-rating edge (20.2 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Regionalliga - Nord, while Phönix Lübeck holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Phönix Lübeck

Probability

47.2%

Model confidence

11.2%

Phönix Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Pauli IILLLDD

GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Phönix LübeckWDWLD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
St. Pauli IIPhönix Lübeck
44.4Attack33.3
0.0Defence77.8
0.0Form44.4
20.2Power53.1
1.39xG1.87
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