St. Pauli IIvs
Kickers Emden
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Pauli II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-3 (6%), 4-3 (6%), 3-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Pauli II 0-2 Kickers Emden
Original prediction
St. Pauli II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 32.5% | 44.4% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.1% | 18.7% | -5.4 pts |
| Away | 2.09 | 43.4% | 36.9% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–36%
- 2.4–36%
- 3.3–26%
Predicted outcome
St. Pauli II
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
St. Pauli II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40