St. Pauli IIvs
HSC Hannover
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Pauli II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Pauli II 3-4 HSC Hannover
Original prediction
St. Pauli II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 54.9% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 20.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.63 | 25.0% | 24.4% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
St. Pauli II
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
St. Pauli II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00