St. Pauli IIvs
Eintracht Norderstedt
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eintracht Norderstedt · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-3 (7%), 1-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Pauli II 5-0 Eintracht Norderstedt
Original prediction
Eintracht Norderstedt
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.9% | 32.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 20.8% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.13 | 42.7% | 46.8% | 4.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–37%
- 3.1–26%
Predicted outcome
Eintracht Norderstedt
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Eintracht Norderstedt has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20