FAI CupFAI Cup
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:06
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

Home
L
21
Full time
Wexford

Wexford

Away
L
Richmond Park
GoalVio prediction
41% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.(36%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction correct— Result: St Patrick's Athl.
Win probability
St Patrick's Athl.
36%
Draw
35%
Wexford
29%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
St Patrick's Athl.
73
Wexford
34
Defence
St Patrick's Athl.
1
Wexford
27
Momentum
St Patrick's Athl.
0
Wexford
0
Danger (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.
1.80
Wexford
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (St Patrick's Athl.)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Wexford)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (St Patrick's Athl.)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Wexford)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
WexfordWexford
LDLDD

Probability breakdown

41% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.36%
Draw35%
Wexford29%

St Patrick's Athl. leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

St Patrick's Athl. head into this in FAI Cup fixture at Richmond Park in mixed form (L), while Wexford arrive in mixed form (L). St Patrick's Athl. have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Wexford over 1 games.

The model rates St Patrick's Athl.'s attack at 73/100 against a 27/100 Wexford defence, and Wexford's attack at 34/100 against a 1/100 St Patrick's Athl. backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

St Patrick's Athl. have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Wexford have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per away game.

St Patrick's Athl. have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects St Patrick's Athl. to win with 41% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. 3645%, Draw 3500%, Wexford 2854%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

St Patrick's Athl. 1Draws 00 Wexford
Avg goals: 3.0BTTS in 1/1
17 Jul 2026
St Patrick's Athl.
W21
Wexford

Recent form

St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

W
vs Wexford
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Doncaster
14 Jul 2026
24
D
@ Waterford
10 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Galway United
3 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Bohemians
26 Jun 2026
02
Wexford

Wexford

L
@ St Patrick's Athl.
17 Jul 2026
12
D
vs Kerry
10 Jul 2026
22
L
@ Finn Harps
3 Jul 2026
01
D
vs Treaty United
26 Jun 2026
00
D
@ Athlone Town
19 Jun 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts St Patrick's Athl. to win with 41% confidence.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St Patrick's Athl. vs Wexford?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more