St Patrick's Athl.vs
Waterford
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St Patrick's Athl. 0-2 Waterford
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.33 | 69.5% | 72.1% | 2.6 pts |
| Draw | 5.03 | 18.4% | 17.7% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 7.68 | 12.1% | 10.2% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
72.1%
Model confidence
72.1%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40