St Patrick's Athl.vs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 10/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: St Patrick's Athl. 1-0 Shelbourne, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
St Patrick's Athl. 1-2 Shelbourne
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 58.3% | 60.4% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.4% | 23.3% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 5.04 | 18.4% | 16.4% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
St Patrick's Athl. 1–0 Shelbourne
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
60.4%
Model confidence
60.4%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40