St Patrick's Athl.vs
Shamrock Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: St Patrick's Athl. 0-0 Shamrock Rovers, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shamrock Rovers
Original prediction
St Patrick's Athl.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.8% | 41.1% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.9% | 29.2% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.3% | 29.8% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.8 pts
Projected Score
St Patrick's Athl. 0–0 Shamrock Rovers
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60