Premier DivisionPremier Division
Friday, 3 July 2026Last updated 12:37
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

Home
L
30
Full time
Galway United

Galway United

Away
W
Richmond Park
GoalVio prediction
43% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.(43%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: St Patrick's Athl.
Win probability
St Patrick's Athl.
43%
Draw
26%
Galway United
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
St Patrick's Athl.
73
Galway United
99
Defence
St Patrick's Athl.
1
Galway United
91
Momentum
St Patrick's Athl.
0
Galway United
100
Danger (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.
1.80
Galway United
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (St Patrick's Athl.)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Galway United)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (St Patrick's Athl.)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Galway United)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
Galway UnitedGalway United
WWLLW

Probability breakdown

43% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.43%
Draw26%
Galway United31%

St Patrick's Athl. leads with 43% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

St Patrick's Athl. head into this in Premier Division fixture at Richmond Park in mixed form (L), while Galway United arrive in mixed form (W). St Patrick's Athl. have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Galway United over 1 games.

Tactically, Galway United hold the edge. Their elite attack (99/100) is pitted against a vulnerable St Patrick's Athl. defence (1/100), while St Patrick's Athl.'s attack faces a watertight Galway United backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

St Patrick's Athl. have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Galway United have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

St Patrick's Athl. have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects St Patrick's Athl. to win with 43% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. 4283%, Draw 2645%, Galway United 3072%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

St Patrick's Athl. 1Draws 00 Galway United
Avg goals: 3.0
3 Jul 2026
St Patrick's Athl.
W30
Galway United

Recent form

St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

W
vs Wexford
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Doncaster
14 Jul 2026
24
D
@ Waterford
10 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Galway United
3 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Bohemians
26 Jun 2026
02
Galway United

Galway United

W
vs Crumlin United
17 Jul 2026
40
W
vs Sligo Rovers
11 Jul 2026
32
L
@ St Patrick's Athl.
3 Jul 2026
03
L
@ Shamrock Rovers
26 Jun 2026
13
W
vs Derry City
19 Jun 2026
21

Frequently asked questions

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?

GoalVio's model predicts St Patrick's Athl. to win with 43% confidence.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St Patrick's Athl. vs Galway United?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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