Premier DivisionPremier Division
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:04
St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

Home
L
11
Full time
Dundalk

Dundalk

Away
W
Richmond Park
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.(53%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Draw
26%
Dundalk
21%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
St Patrick's Athl.
73
Dundalk
94
Defence
St Patrick's Athl.
1
Dundalk
66
Momentum
St Patrick's Athl.
0
Dundalk
100
Danger (xG)
St Patrick's Athl.
1.80
Dundalk
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (St Patrick's Athl.)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Dundalk)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (St Patrick's Athl.)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Dundalk)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
DundalkDundalk
WLLLW

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
St Patrick's Athl.53%
Draw26%
Dundalk21%

St Patrick's Athl. leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

St Patrick's Athl. head into this in Premier Division fixture at Richmond Park in mixed form (L), while Dundalk arrive in mixed form (W). St Patrick's Athl. have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Dundalk over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — St Patrick's Athl. (73/100) and Dundalk (94/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

St Patrick's Athl. have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Dundalk have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between St Patrick's Athl. and Dundalk in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects St Patrick's Athl. to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: St Patrick's Athl. 5266%, Draw 2621%, Dundalk 2113%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

W
vs Wexford
17 Jul 2026
21
L
@ Doncaster
14 Jul 2026
24
D
@ Waterford
10 Jul 2026
11
W
vs Galway United
3 Jul 2026
30
L
@ Bohemians
26 Jun 2026
02
Dundalk

Dundalk

W
@ St Mochta's
17 Jul 2026
31
L
vs Drogheda United
10 Jul 2026
12
L
@ Shelbourne
3 Jul 2026
12
L
vs Waterford
26 Jun 2026
23
W
vs Shamrock Rovers
15 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts St Patrick's Athl. to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St Patrick's Athl. vs Dundalk?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more