St Patrick's Athl.vs
Drogheda United
COMPLETEDIreland · Premier Division · 3/13/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
St Patrick's Athl. are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Drogheda United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 42.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.0% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St Patrick's Athl.
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00