GGOALVIO

Ireland · Premier Division · 2/17/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St Patrick's Athl. · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

St Patrick's Athl. are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 2.75 scored and 0.25 conceded, while Derry City are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and St Patrick's Athl. hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Premier Division, while St Patrick's Athl. holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St Patrick's Athl.

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

St Patrick's Athl. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St Patrick's Athl.WWWD

GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.75/0.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
Derry CityLW

GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
St Patrick's Athl.Derry City
53.1Attack43.2
71.6Defence60.5
58.0Form40.7
61.0Power50.0
1.39xG0.65
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