Ústí nad Orlicívs
Trutnov
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Orlicí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ústí nad Orlicí 1-2 Trutnov
Original prediction
Ústí nad Orlicí
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.1% | 57.2% | 16.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.2% | 20.8% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 21.9% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Orlicí
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Ústí nad Orlicí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00