Ústí nad Orlicívs
Kolín
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 10/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Orlicí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ústí nad Orlicí 2-1 Kolín
Original prediction
Ústí nad Orlicí
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.1% | 67.7% | 6.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.37 | 20.7% | 17.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 4.96 | 18.2% | 14.8% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Orlicí
Probability
67.7%
Model confidence
67.7%
Ústí nad Orlicí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00