Ústí nad Orlicívs
Hlinsko
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie C · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hlinsko · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ústí nad Orlicí 2-1 Hlinsko
Original prediction
Hlinsko
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.63 | 34.4% | 35.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 24.3% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.27 | 39.7% | 40.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Hlinsko
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
40.0%
Hlinsko has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40