Ústí nad Labemvs
Slavia Praha II
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 9/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Labem · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ústí nad Labem 1-1 Slavia Praha II
Original prediction
Ústí nad Labem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 44.6% | 47.9% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 24.9% | 23.8% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.5% | 28.4% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.64 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Labem
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
Ústí nad Labem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60