Ústí nad Labemvs
Opava
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · FNL · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ústí nad Labem · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ústí nad Labem 2-3 Opava
Original prediction
Ústí nad Labem
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.3% | 47.1% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.2% | 27.2% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.5% | 25.7% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Ústí nad Labem
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Ústí nad Labem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80