ST Mirrenvs
Motherwell
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 8/30/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ST Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
Original prediction
ST Mirren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 36.0% | 41.0% | 5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.9% | 28.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 35.2% | 30.7% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60