League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 21 July 2026Last updated 15:01
ST Mirren

ST Mirren

Home
W
43
Full time
East Kilbride

East Kilbride

Away
LW
The SMISA Stadium
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
ST Mirren(52%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
ST Mirren
52%
Draw
23%
East Kilbride
26%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
ST Mirren
73
East Kilbride
86
Defence
ST Mirren
91
East Kilbride
46
Momentum
ST Mirren
100
East Kilbride
50
Danger (xG)
ST Mirren
1.80
East Kilbride
2.25
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (ST Mirren)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (East Kilbride)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (ST Mirren)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (East Kilbride)
1.35
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ST MirrenST Mirren
W
East KilbrideEast Kilbride
LW

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
ST Mirren52%
Draw23%
East Kilbride26%

ST Mirren leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

ST Mirren head into this in League Cup fixture at The SMISA Stadium in mixed form (W), while East Kilbride arrive in mixed form (LW). ST Mirren have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for East Kilbride over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — ST Mirren (73/100) and East Kilbride (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

ST Mirren have limited home data in the engine at this stage. East Kilbride have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between ST Mirren and East Kilbride in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects ST Mirren to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: ST Mirren 5150%, Draw 2260%, East Kilbride 2590%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

ST Mirren

ST Mirren

W
@ Aberdeen
12 May 2026
20
East Kilbride

East Kilbride

L
@ Cove Rangers
14 Jul 2026
23
W
vs Dunfermline
11 Jul 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win ST Mirren vs East Kilbride?

GoalVio's model predicts ST Mirren to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs East Kilbride?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in ST Mirren vs East Kilbride?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Mirren vs East Kilbride?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more