ST Mirrenvs
Dundee Utd
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ST Mirren 0-3 Dundee Utd
Original prediction
ST Mirren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.34 | 39.9% | 52.4% | 12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.9% | 24.6% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.81 | 33.3% | 23.0% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
52.4%
Model confidence
52.4%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00