Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
ST Mirren are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dundee are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Premiership, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60