Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Mirren · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
ST Mirren are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Aberdeen are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and ST Mirren hold a 38.7-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the Premiership, while ST Mirren holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ST Mirren
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
ST Mirren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60