GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 1/28/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 7.0-point power-rating edge (38.5 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityLDWLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesDDWLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis CityTampa Bay Rowdies
57.1Attack55.6
28.6Defence44.4
28.6Form33.3
38.5Power45.5
1.96xG2.04
View match centre →