St. Louis City leads with 70% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

St. Louis City head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at CITYPARK in mixed form (W), while Sporting Kansas City arrive in mixed form (L). St. Louis City have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Sporting Kansas City over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — St. Louis City (94/100) and Sporting Kansas City (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

St. Louis City have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Sporting Kansas City have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

St. Louis City have generated 2.51 xG per game recently while conceding 0.98 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Sporting Kansas City have generated 1.17 xG per game recently while conceding 1.35 xG per match.

St. Louis City have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 5.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects St. Louis City to win with 70% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: St. Louis City 7048%, Draw 1832%, Sporting Kansas City 1120%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

St. Louis City

W

vs Sporting Kansas City

17 Jul 2026

3–2

xG 2.5

D

@ DC United

17 May 2026

1–1

W

vs Los Angeles FC

14 May 2026

2–1

Sporting Kansas City

L

@ St. Louis City

17 Jul 2026

2–3

xG 1.0

L

vs New York Red Bulls

24 May 2026

1–2

xG 1.7

W

@ Austin

17 May 2026

2–1

W

vs Los Angeles Galaxy

14 May 2026

3–1

D

vs Houston Dynamo

19 Oct 2025

0–0

xG 0.8

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