GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New England Revolution are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and New England Revolution hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 55.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityLLLDL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
New England RevolutionWLLWL

GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis CityNew England Revolution
47.4Attack51.9
56.1Defence57.4
50.9Form55.6
53.1Power55.4
1.30xG1.27
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