GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/14/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Los Angeles FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles FC

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

13.3%

Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityWLLLD

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles FCLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis CityLos Angeles FC
44.4Attack61.4
55.6Defence66.7
48.1Form59.6
51.1Power61.5
0.93xG1.55
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