Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:01
St. Louis City

St. Louis City

Home
W
10
Full time
Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids

Away
D
CITYPARK
GoalVio prediction
46% confidence
St. Louis City(46%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
St. Louis City
46%
Draw
24%
Colorado Rapids
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
St. Louis City
94
Colorado Rapids
34
Defence
St. Louis City
27
Colorado Rapids
66
Momentum
St. Louis City
100
Colorado Rapids
33
Danger (xG)
St. Louis City
2.51
Colorado Rapids
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (St. Louis City)
2.51
avg per match
xG for (Colorado Rapids)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (St. Louis City)
0.98
avg per match
xG against (Colorado Rapids)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
St. Louis CitySt. Louis City
WDW
Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids
DLWW

Probability breakdown

46% confidence
St. Louis City46%
Draw24%
Colorado Rapids30%

St. Louis City leads with 46% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

St. Louis City head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at CITYPARK in mixed form (W), while Colorado Rapids arrive in mixed form (D). St. Louis City have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Colorado Rapids over 1 games.

The model rates St. Louis City's attack at 94/100 against a 66/100 Colorado Rapids defence, and Colorado Rapids's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 St. Louis City backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

St. Louis City have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game at home. Colorado Rapids have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

St. Louis City have generated 2.51 xG per game recently while conceding 0.98 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. Colorado Rapids have generated 1.90 xG per game recently while conceding 2.14 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between St. Louis City and Colorado Rapids in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects St. Louis City to win with 46% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: St. Louis City 4593%, Draw 2420%, Colorado Rapids 2987%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

St. Louis City

St. Louis City

W
vs Sporting Kansas City
17 Jul 2026
32
xG 2.5
D
@ DC United
17 May 2026
11
W
vs Los Angeles FC
14 May 2026
21
Colorado Rapids

Colorado Rapids

D
vs FC Juarez
10 Jul 2026
11
L
@ Real Salt Lake
17 May 2026
12
W
@ Minnesota United FC
14 May 2026
10
W
vs Houston Dynamo
14 Sept 2025
21
xG 1.9

Frequently asked questions

Who will win St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?

GoalVio's model predicts St. Louis City to win with 46% confidence.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in St. Louis City vs Colorado Rapids?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more