GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 2/21/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. Louis City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (53.1 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Major League Soccer, while St. Louis City holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

St. Louis City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis CityLWDLD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
CharlotteWLWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Louis CityCharlotte
47.4Attack53.7
56.1Defence50.0
50.9Form46.3
53.1Power50.6
1.55xG1.29
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