St. Louis City IIvs
Sporting KC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 2/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
St. Louis City II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting KC II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City II hold a 17.6-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the MLS Next Pro, while St. Louis City II holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City II
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
8.9%
St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80