St. Louis City IIvs
Real Monarchs
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
St. Louis City II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Real Monarchs are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City II hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while St. Louis City II holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City II
Probability
57.0%
Model confidence
9.8%
St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20