St. Louis City IIvs
North Texas
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Louis City II 1-1 North Texas
Original prediction
St. Louis City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 63.9% | 52.1% | -11.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.39 | 20.6% | 21.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.86 | 15.5% | 26.4% | 10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
St. Louis City II
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20