GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Minnesota United II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while St. Louis City II holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City II

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

11.8%

St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis City IIWLLWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United IIWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis City IIMinnesota United II
51.5Attack45.5
50.0Defence47.0
47.0Form42.4
50.2Power46.8
1.82xG1.26
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