GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/22/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Louis City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Los Angeles FC II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC II hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 52.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while St. Louis City II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Louis City II

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

11.6%

St. Louis City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis City IIWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles FC IIDLDLD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
St. Louis City IILos Angeles FC II
51.5Attack52.4
50.0Defence49.2
47.0Form50.8
50.2Power52.7
1.71xG1.48
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