GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/26/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

LA Galaxy II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while LA Galaxy II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and LA Galaxy II hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while LA Galaxy II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

LA Galaxy II

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

10.4%

LA Galaxy II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis City IIWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LA Galaxy IIDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
St. Louis City IILA Galaxy II
51.5Attack68.3
50.0Defence55.6
47.0Form55.6
50.2Power59.8
1.47xG1.97
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