GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Houston Dynamo FC II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Mediumconfidence

St. Louis City II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Houston Dynamo FC II are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo FC II hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (50.2 v 69.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Houston Dynamo FC II holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Houston Dynamo FC II

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

10.1%

Houston Dynamo FC II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Louis City IIDWWDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Houston Dynamo FC IIWWWDW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
St. Louis City IIHouston Dynamo FC II
51.5Attack75.0
50.0Defence68.3
47.0Form70.0
50.2Power69.9
1.01xG2.23
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