St. Louis City IIvs
Austin II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Austin II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Louis City II 0-2 Austin II
Original prediction
Austin II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 25.7% | -18.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.0% | 22.9% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.8% | 51.4% | 22.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.13 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Austin II
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
51.4%
Austin II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40