St. Kitts and Nevisvs
Cuba
COMPLETEDWorld · CONCACAF Nations League · 10/2/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cuba · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
St. Kitts and Nevis 3-3 Cuba
Original prediction
Cuba
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 September 2026 at 18:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.40 | 20.8% | 35.1% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 26.2% | 26.1% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.73 | 52.9% | 38.7% | -14.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Cuba
Probability
38.7%
Model confidence
38.7%
Cuba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00