ST Johnstonevs
Hibernian
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ST Johnstone · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ST Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian
Original prediction
ST Johnstone
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.79 | 33.6% | 38.2% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.7% | 26.6% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 37.7% | 35.2% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
ST Johnstone
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
ST Johnstone has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40