GGOALVIO

Scotland · Premiership · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Heart OF Midlothian · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ST Johnstone are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Heart Of Midlothian are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Heart Of Midlothian hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Premiership, while Heart Of Midlothian holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Heart OF Midlothian

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Heart OF Midlothian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ST JohnstoneLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Heart OF MidlothianLWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
ST JohnstoneHeart OF Midlothian
66.7Attack83.3
33.3Defence66.7
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power62.5
1.47xG1.57
View match centre →