League CupLeague Cup
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 12:39
ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone

Home
W
11
Full time
East Fife

East Fife

Away
WD
McDiarmid Park
GoalVio prediction
71% confidence
ST Johnstone(71%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Win probability
ST Johnstone
71%
Draw
19%
East Fife
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
ST Johnstone
73
East Fife
54
Defence
ST Johnstone
91
East Fife
82
Momentum
ST Johnstone
100
East Fife
67
Danger (xG)
ST Johnstone
1.80
East Fife
1.35
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (ST Johnstone)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (East Fife)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (ST Johnstone)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (East Fife)
0.45
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
W
East FifeEast Fife
WD

Probability breakdown

71% confidence
ST Johnstone71%
Draw19%
East Fife10%

ST Johnstone leads with 71% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

ST Johnstone head into this in League Cup fixture at McDiarmid Park in mixed form (W), while East Fife arrive in mixed form (WD). ST Johnstone have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for East Fife over 2 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — ST Johnstone (91/100) and East Fife (82/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

ST Johnstone have limited home data in the engine at this stage. East Fife have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between ST Johnstone and East Fife in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects ST Johnstone to win with 71% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: ST Johnstone 7078%, Draw 1900%, East Fife 1022%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

ST Johnstone

ST Johnstone

W
@ Linlithgow Rose
14 Jul 2026
20
East Fife

East Fife

W
vs Morton
14 Jul 2026
20
D
@ Inverness CT
11 Jul 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win ST Johnstone vs East Fife?

GoalVio's model predicts ST Johnstone to win with 71% confidence.

What is the predicted score for ST Johnstone vs East Fife?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in ST Johnstone vs East Fife?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in ST Johnstone vs East Fife?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more