ST Johnstonevs
Celtic
COMPLETEDScotland · Premiership · 9/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celtic · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ST Johnstone 0-1 Celtic
Original prediction
Celtic
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.27 | 15.0% | 21.5% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.68 | 20.1% | 22.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 64.9% | 55.6% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Celtic
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Celtic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ST JohnstoneWDLLW
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CelticWWWLW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
ST JohnstoneCeltic
53.3Attack86.7
46.7Defence80.0
46.7Form100.0
51.9Power89.1
1.07xG1.96