GGOALVIO

Australia · Queensland Premier League · 3/28/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St George Willawong · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St George Willawong are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Capalaba are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 23.3 against 23.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.7% in the Queensland Premier League, while St George Willawong holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St George Willawong

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

41.7%

St George Willawong has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St George WillawongLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
CapalabaLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
St George WillawongCapalaba
19.7Attack31.8
21.2Defence13.6
19.7Form16.7
23.3Power23.7
1.73xG1.42
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