GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 3/28/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NWS Spirit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

St. George Saints are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (36.1 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NWS Spirit

Probability

44.9%

Model confidence

44.9%

NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. George SaintsLWWWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NWS SpiritLDWWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
St. George SaintsNWS Spirit
32.1Attack41.7
41.7Defence56.0
28.6Form44.0
36.1Power48.0
0.89xG1.39
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