GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 6/20/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NWS Spirit · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

St George City FA are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while NWS Spirit are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and NWS Spirit hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the New South Wales NPL, while NWS Spirit holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NWS Spirit

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

14.8%

NWS Spirit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St George City FADDWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
NWS SpiritWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
St George City FANWS Spirit
32.1Attack41.7
52.4Defence56.0
44.0Form44.0
45.3Power48.0
0.92xG1.10
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