GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL · 5/16/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

APIA Leichhardt Tigers · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Mediumconfidence

St George City FA are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and APIA Leichhardt Tigers hold a 26.3-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 71.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the New South Wales NPL, while APIA Leichhardt Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Probability

66.9%

Model confidence

12.9%

APIA Leichhardt Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St George City FAWLLLD

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
APIA Leichhardt TigersWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
St George City FAAPIA Leichhardt Tigers
32.1Attack73.8
52.4Defence60.7
44.0Form76.2
45.3Power71.6
0.76xG2.10
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