GGOALVIO

Switzerland · AXA Women’s Super League · 9/24/2025, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

St. Gallen W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

St. Gallen W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Thun W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Thun W hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the AXA Women’s Super League, while St. Gallen W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

St. Gallen W

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

St. Gallen W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

St. Gallen WWWLDW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Thun WLLLLW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
St. Gallen WThun W
33.3Attack47.2
0.0Defence15.3
0.0Form34.7
15.3Power33.1
2.67xG1.59
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